{"id":334047,"date":"2026-01-27T01:06:05","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T06:06:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/fed-expected-to-keep-rates-unchanged-as-chair-powell-pivots-back-to-economics"},"modified":"2026-01-27T01:06:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T06:06:09","slug":"fed-expected-to-keep-rates-unchanged-as-chair-powell-pivots-back-to-economics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/fed-expected-to-keep-rates-unchanged-as-chair-powell-pivots-back-to-economics","title":{"rendered":"Fed anticipated to maintain charges unchanged as Chair Powell pivots again to economics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><br \/>\n<\/p>\n<div data-testid=\"prism-article-body\">\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao MvWXB TjIXL aGjvy ebVHC \"><span class=\"oyrPY qlwaB AGxeB \">WASHINGTON &#8212; <\/span>After two weeks of intense <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/trump-powell-federal-reserve-d87eedf1e35195957f903f9963aeaf99\">political<\/a> and legal scrutiny, the Federal Reserve will seek to make this week&#8217;s meeting about interest rates as straightforward and uneventful as possible, though President Donald Trump probably still won&#8217;t like the result. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">The central bank&#8217;s interest rate-setting committee is almost certain to keep its key short-term rate unchanged at about 3.6%, after three straight quarter-point cuts <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-economy-inflation-jobs-442de589de9b99bb811f76e402b00948\">last year<\/a>. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said after December&#8217;s meeting that they were \u201cwell positioned to wait to see how the economy evolves\u201d before making any further moves. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">When the Fed lowers its short-term rate, it can over time influence other borrowing costs for things like mortgages, auto loans and business borrowing, though those rates are also affected by market forces. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">This week&#8217;s meeting \u2014 one of eight the Fed holds each year \u2014 will be overshadowed by the bombshell revelation earlier this month that the Justice Department <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-trump-subpoena-bf4fc6c690fa248fbc531bc9bc7f1758\">has subpoenaed the Fed<\/a> as part of a criminal investigation into testimony Powell gave last June about a <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-building-renovations-trump-powell-70cfb70f2c09105c2a144179d5d92e69\">$2.5 billion building renovation<\/a>. It&#8217;s the first time a sitting Fed chair has been investigated, and prompted an unusually public rebuke from Powell.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Now, Powell will have to shift from a dispute with the White House to emphasizing that the Fed&#8217;s decisions around interest rates are driven by <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/inflation-economy-trump-federal-reserve-fabecefa501709184895bf73b3dc698a\">economic concerns<\/a>, not politics. Powell said <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/www.federalreserve.gov\/newsevents\/speech\/powell20260111a.htm\">Jan. 11<\/a> that the subpoenas were \u201cpretexts\u201d to punish the Fed for not cutting rates as sharply as Trump wants. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Powell will be &#8220;under even more pressure to underscore, \u2018everything we\u2019re doing here &#8230; is all about the economics,\u2019\u201d said Claudia Sahm, a former Fed economist and chief economist at New Century Advisors. &#8220;&#8216;We didn\u2019t think about the politics.&#8217;\u201d <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Michael Gapen, chief U.S. economist at Morgan Stanley and also a former Fed staffer, said that despite the scrutiny, the Fed can be expected to consider its interest rate policies like it always does. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">\u201cThe meetings have a regular flow to them,\u201d he said. &#8220;There are presentations that are made, there are discussions that have to be had. &#8230; Some of these other broader-based attacks on the Fed don&#8217;t really come up.&#8221; <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Not long after the Justice Department&#8217;s subpoenas, the Supreme Court last week considered whether Trump can <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/federal-reserve-lisa-cook-trump-6fca3d2fbb54ba204cc91398e6a7b020\">fire Fed governor Lisa Cook<\/a> over allegations of mortgage fraud, which <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/lisa-cook-trump-fed-independence-firing-d06dfb46fbd300195c3cedc8cb5adadb\">she denies<\/a>. No president has fired a governor in the Fed&#8217;s 112-year history. <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/supreme-court-cook-federal-reserve-powell-a8572f8a1f62cf653e822a64c714d05a\">During an oral argument<\/a>, the justices appeared to be leaning toward allowing her to stay in her job until the case is resolved. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Other Fed officials have also signaled the central bank is likely to keep rates unchanged at their two-day meeting that ends Wednesday. The Fed&#8217;s three rate cuts last year were intended to bolster the economy after hiring slowed sharply over the summer and fall in the wake of Trump&#8217;s April tariffs on dozens of countries. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Yet the unemployment rate <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/jobs-economy-growth-3520ef449c36be8ca60eb046177200a2\">ticked lower<\/a> in December, after picking up for much of last year, and there are other signs the job market may be stabilizing. The number of people seeking unemployment benefits has stayed historically low, a sign layoffs haven&#8217;t spiked. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Meanwhile, inflation <a class=\"zZygg UbGlr iFzkS qdXbA WCDhQ DbOXS tqUtK GpWVU iJYzE \" data-testid=\"prism-linkbase\" href=\"https:\/\/apnews.com\/article\/inflation-economy-consumers-ac538fd750b4622ee7fa439ef8021783\">remains elevated<\/a> and actually ticked higher last year, according to the Fed&#8217;s preferred measure. Prices rose 2.8% in November from a year earlier, the latest data available. That is up from 2.6% in November 2024. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Unless businesses start cutting jobs or the unemployment rate rises, the Fed is unlikely to cut rates again for at least a few months, economists say. If inflation slowly declines this year, as economists expect, the Fed may cut again in the spring or summer. Wall Street investors expect just two quarter-point rate reductions this year, according to futures prices.<\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">Many economists expect growth could pick up in the coming months, which would be another reason to forego rate cuts. Gapen estimates that tax refunds could be about 20% higher this spring than last year as the Trump administration&#8217;s tax cuts take effect. Refunds could average $3,500, Gapen said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"EkqkG IGXmU nlgHS yuUao lqtkC TjIXL aGjvy \">The economy expanded at a 4.4% annual rate in last year&#8217;s July-September quarter and may have grown at a similarly healthy pace in the final three months of last year. If such solid growth continues, Fed officials will likely wait to see if hiring picks up as well, further reducing the need for more rate cuts. <\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/abcnews.go.com\/US\/wireStory\/fed-expected-rates-unchanged-chair-powell-pivots-back-129587817\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>WASHINGTON &#8212; After two weeks of intense political and legal scrutiny, the Federal Reserve will seek to make this week&#8217;s meeting about interest rates as [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":334050,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[259,12175,12173,2697,12174,8806,1426,12172,609,4914,636],"class_list":["post-334047","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","tag-chair","tag-claudia-sahm","tag-economist-and-chief-economist","tag-governor","tag-interest-insurance-policies","tag-jerome-powell","tag-justice-division","tag-michael-gapen","tag-president","tag-trump-administration","tag-washington"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/334047","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=334047"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/334047\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":334049,"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/334047\/revisions\/334049"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/334050"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=334047"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=334047"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.etrafficlane.com\/60dollarmiracle\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=334047"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}